Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (2024)

Euro indicators 2 July 2024 Next release: 31 July 2024

Flash estimate - June 2024

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Overview

Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.5% in June 2024, down from 2.6% in May according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in June (4.1%, stable compared with May), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.5%, compared with 2.6% in May), non-energy industrial goods (0.7%, stable compared with May) and energy (0.2%, compared with 0.3% in May).

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (1)

Tables

Euro area annual inflation and its components (%)

Weights (‰)

Annual rate

Monthly rate

2024

Jun 23

Jan 24

Feb 24

Mar 24

Apr 24

May 24

Jun 24

Jun 24

All-items HICP

1000.0

5.5

2.8

2.6

2.4

2.4

2.6

2.5e

0.2e

All-items excluding:

energy

900.9

6.9

3.8

3.3

2.9

2.7

2.8

2.8e

0.3e

energy, unprocessed food

857.4

6.8

3.6

3.3

3.1

2.8

2.9

2.8e

0.4e

energy, food, alcohol & tobacco

706.2

5.5

3.3

3.1

2.9

2.7

2.9

2.9e

0.3e

Food, alcohol & tobacco

194.7

11.6

5.6

3.9

2.6

2.8

2.6

2.5e

0.2e

processed food, alcohol & tobacco

151.2

12.4

5.2

4.5

3.5

3.2

2.8

2.8e

0.4e

unprocessed food

43.5

9.0

6.9

2.1

-0.5

1.2

1.8

1.4e

-0.4e

Energy

99.1

-5.6

-6.1

-3.7

-1.8

-0.6

0.3

0.2e

-0.8e

Non-energy industrial goods

257.3

5.5

2.0

1.6

1.1

0.9

0.7

0.7e

-0.1e

Services

448.8

5.4

4.0

4.0

4.0

3.7

4.1

4.1e

0.6e

e estimate

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (2)

Inflation rates (%) measured by the HICP

Annual rate

Monthly rate

Jun 23

Jan 24

Feb 24

Mar 24

Apr 24

May 24

Jun 24

Jun 24

Belgium

1.6

1.5

3.6

3.8

4.9

4.9

5.5e

0.5e

Germany

6.8

3.1

2.7

2.3

2.4

2.8

2.5e

0.2e

Estonia

9.0

5.0

4.4

4.1

3.1

3.1

2.8e

0.5e

Ireland

4.8

2.7

2.3

1.7

1.6

2.0

1.5e

0.3e

Greece

2.8

3.2

3.1

3.4

3.2

2.4

2.4e

1.0e

Spain

1.6

3.5

2.9

3.3

3.4

3.8

3.5e

0.3e

France

5.3

3.4

3.2

2.4

2.4

2.6

2.5e

0.1e

Croatia

8.3

4.8

4.8

4.9

4.7

4.3

3.4e

0.8e

Italy

6.7

0.9

0.8

1.2

0.9

0.8

0.9e

0.2e

Cyprus

2.8

2.1

2.1

1.6

2.1

3.0

3.1e

0.4e

Latvia

8.1

1.1

0.6

1.0

1.1

0.0

1.4e

0.0e

Lithuania

8.2

1.1

1.1

0.4

0.4

0.9

1.0e

0.0e

Luxembourg

1.0

3.0

3.2

3.2

3.0

3.2

2.8e

0.0e

Malta

6.2

3.7

3.0

2.7

2.4

2.3

2.1e

1.3e

Netherlands

6.4

3.1

2.7

3.1

2.6

2.7

3.4e

0.2e

Austria

7.8

4.3

4.0

4.1

3.4

3.3

3.2e

0.1e

Portugal

4.7

2.5

2.3

2.6

2.3

3.8

3.1e

-0.3e

Slovenia

6.6

3.4

3.4

3.4

3.0

2.5

1.6e

0.0e

Slovakia

11.3

4.4

3.8

2.7

2.4

2.6

2.4e

0.0e

Finland

4.1

1.1

1.1

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.6e

0.0e

e estimate

Source dataset: prc_hicp_manr

Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (3)

Notes for users

Revisions and timetable

The euro area inflation flash estimate is issued at the end of each reference month.

The complete set of harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP) for the euro area, EU and Member States is released around the middle of the month following the reference month.

The next release with full data for June 2024 is scheduled for 17 July 2024.

Methods and definitions

Annual inflation is the change of the price level of consumer goods and services between the current month and the same month of the previous year. Monthly inflation is the change of the price level between the current month and the previous month.

Geographical information

The euro area consists of Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia and Finland.

The euro area data refer to the country composition at a specific point in time. Changes in the composition of the euro area are incorporated using a chain index formula.

For more information

  • Website section on inflation

  • Database section on inflation

  • Statistics Explained article on inflation in the euro area

  • Metadata on inflation

  • Euro indicators dashboard

  • Release calendar for Euro indicators

  • European Statistics Code of Practice

Get in touch

Media requests

Eurostat Media Support

Phone: (+352) 4301 33 408

E-mail: eurostat-mediasupport@ec.europa.eu

Further information on data

E-mail: estat-hicp@ec.europa.eu

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Euro area annual inflation down to 2.5% (2024)

FAQs

What is euro area inflation rate? ›

Overview. The euro area annual inflation rate was 2.5% in June 2024, down from 2.6% in May. A year earlier, the rate was 5.5%. European Union annual inflation was 2.6% in June 2024, down from 2.7% in May.

How is euro area inflation calculated? ›

In Euro Area, the inflation rate is calculated using the weighted average of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Price (HICP) aggregates.

What is the inflation expectations euro area data? ›

Inflation in the Euro currency area, which hit a peak of 10.6 percent in October 2022, is set to continue to fall in 2024, as economic forecasts predict that the HICP inflation rate will be between 2.4 percent and 3.3 percent over the year.

What is the flash estimate for inflation in the euro area? ›

The flash estimate for the euro area for May 2024, published on 31 May 2024, was 2,6%. The next flash estimate of euro area inflation with data for June 2024 is scheduled for July 2, 2024.

What is the inflation target euro area? ›

We are targeting an inflation rate of 2% over the medium term. Our commitment to this target is symmetric: we view inflation that is too low just as negatively as inflation that is too high.

What is the annual inflation rate of the euro? ›

Overview. Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.6% in May 2024, up from 2.4% in April according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

How different is euro area and US inflation? ›

While current inflation may appear similar in the US and the eurozone, the causes are very different. In the US, inflation is measured based on current rent prices and rents attributed to homeowners. The total weight of rents in the price index is 38% in the US, compared to 6% in the euro area.

What is the core CPI inflation in the euro area? ›

Eurozone Core Consumer Price Index YoY is at 2.85%, compared to 2.75% last month and 6.85% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 1.77%.

What is a good inflation rate? ›

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) judges that inflation of 2 percent over the longer run, as measured by the annual change in the price index for personal consumption expenditures, is most consistent with the Federal Reserve's mandate for maximum employment and price stability.

Which country has the highest inflation rate? ›

Top 10 Countries with the Highest Inflation Rates (Trading Economics Jan 2022) With an inflation rate that has soared above one million percent in recent years, Venezuela has the highest inflation rate in the world.

What is the inflation rate today? ›

Key takeaways

The current annual inflation rate is 3%, but between May and June, inflation edged lower (-0.1%) on a monthly basis, the first decline since the pandemic.

What are the determinants of inflation expectations in the euro area? ›

They find that short-term euro area inflation expectations have been affected by oil prices, monetary policy shocks and central bank inflation projections.

How is inflation measured in the euro area? ›

In the euro area, the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is used to measure consumer price inflation.

What is the latest Eurozone inflation rate? ›

Eurozone Inflation Rate (I:EIRNM)

Eurozone Inflation Rate is at 2.60%, compared to 2.40% last month and 6.10% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 2.04%.

How fast is eurozone inflation falling? ›

The European Commission on Wednesday said annual inflation in the single currency bloc is set to drop to 2.5 per cent this year, before reaching the European Central Bank's 2 per cent target in the second half of 2025.

What is the inflation rate in Europe today? ›

Inflation in the Eurozone is provisionally estimated as 2.5% in June, down from 2.6% in May. Eurozone inflation was 5.5% in June 2023.

What is the CPI index for Euro Zone? ›

Eurozone Consumer Price Index is at a current level of 126.31, up from 126.04 last month and up from 123.15 one year ago. This is a change of 0.21% from last month and 2.57% from one year ago.

What is the inflation rate of France? ›

France inflation rate for 2022 was 5.22%, a 3.58% increase from 2021. France inflation rate for 2021 was 1.64%, a 1.17% increase from 2020. France inflation rate for 2020 was 0.48%, a 0.63% decline from 2019.

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